Markets Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Currency 1.13 1.15 1.14 1.13 1.13 1.1
Stock Market 4853.70 5456 5404 5352 5300 5099
Government Bond 10Y 0.72 0.85 0.89 0.93 0.98 1.19
Overview Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
GDP Growth Rate 0.40 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6
GDP Annual Growth Rate 1.40 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.2
Unemployment Rate 9.10 8.6 8.5 8.1 8 7.2
Inflation Rate 1.90 2 1.7 1.5 1.6 2
Inflation Rate Mom -0.20 0.4 0.5 0.3 -0.3 0.4
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0.25 0.75
Balance of Trade -4052.00 -2980 -3200 -2800 -2200 -1650
Current Account -684.00 -620 -2200 -2100 -1720 -550
Current Account to GDP -0.80 -1.3 -1 -1 -1 -0.9
Government Debt to GDP 97.00 98.7 98.6 98.6 98.6 98
Government Budget -2.60 -2.6 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.7
Business Confidence 105.00 102 101 105 104 101
Manufacturing PMI 49.70 49.7 50.9 54 54.5 53.6
Services PMI 49.60 49.6 52.9 56 55.7 54
Consumer Confidence 92.00 91 91 94 95 99
Retail Sales MoM 0.50 -0.7 0.5 -0.3 0.7 0.4
Corporate Tax Rate 33.30 33.3 33.3 33.3 33.3 33.3
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45
GDP Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
GDP Growth Rate 0.40 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6
GDP Annual Growth Rate 1.40 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.2
GDP 2582.50 2660 2890 2890 2890 2920
GDP Constant Prices 571650.00 576152 577071 579679 581940 598837
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 131874.00 131371 131492 133004 134248 136544
GDP per capita 42567.74 42900 43200 43200 43200 43600
GDP per capita PPP 38605.67 39200 39700 39700 39700 40400
GDP From Agriculture 7833.00 7980 7940 7961 7974 8294
GDP From Construction 27897.00 28274 28308 28492 28399 29387
GDP From Manufacturing 58011.00 59202 58682 58859 59055 61533
GDP From Services 291386.00 291842 293176 294800 296631 303333
GDP From Transport 23077.00 22882 23118 23020 23492 23783
GDP From Utilities 12484.00 12840 12892 12776 12709 13345
Labour Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Unemployment Rate 9.10 8.6 8.5 8.1 8 7.2
Employed Persons 28184.20 28200 28450 28550 28620 29100
Unemployed Persons 3425.90 3415 3369 3362 3348 3290
Employment Rate 65.90 65.7 65.7 65.8 65.9 66.6
Long Term Unemployment Rate 3.40 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3
Youth Unemployment Rate 21.50 19.5 19 18.6 18.2 17.6
Labour Costs 108.20 109 109 109 110 112
Productivity 118.72 120 121 122 123 127
Job Vacancies 289.20 225 334 342 326 241
Wages 2998.00 3370 3440 3440 3440 3520
Wages in Manufacturing 102.00 119 119 119 120 123
Minimum Wages 1498.47 1498 1598 1598 1598 1650
Wage Growth 0.40 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6
Population 67.19 67.19 67.55 67.55 67.55 68.06
Retirement Age Women 62.00 62 62 62 62 62
Retirement Age Men 62.00 62 62 62 62 62
Initial Jobless Claims -9.70 -2.6 17.9 -7.6 -46.2 -6
Labor Force Participation Rate 72.30 72.4 72.6 72.5 72.5 72.8
Manufacturing Payrolls 2772.80 2820 2850 2870 2880 2950
Living Wage Family 1790.00 1780 1840 1840 1840 1890
Living Wage Individual 1080.00 1120 1190 1190 1190 1250
Non Farm Payrolls 25173.60 25220 25280 25340 25400 25640
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 19392.30 19480 19530 19580 19610 19790
Part Time Employment 4948.80 4870 4880 4880 4890 4930
Employment Change 0.10 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Government Payrolls 5781.30 5740 5750 5750 5790 5850
Full Time Employment 21849.10 22400 22500 22600 22650 22900
Wages Low Skilled 1610.00 1690 1750 1750 1750 1830
Wages High Skilled 3120.00 3240 3270 3270 3270 3360
Prices Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Inflation Rate 1.90 2 1.7 1.5 1.6 2
Inflation Rate Mom -0.20 0.4 0.5 0.3 -0.3 0.4
Consumer Price Index CPI 103.45 104 104 105 105 108
Harmonised Consumer Prices 104.00 2.3 109 105 106 121
Core Consumer Prices 101.96 102 103 103 103 106
Core Inflation Rate 0.70 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.8
Producer Prices 103.90 105 104 104 106 110
Producer Prices Change 3.90 2.5 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.3
Export Prices 117.30 116 116 117 117 120
Import Prices 103.90 101 103 104 105 107
Food Inflation 1.90 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.5
CPI Housing Utilities 105.25 104 105 105 106 108
CPI Transportation 106.20 105 106 108 108 109
Money Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0.25 0.75
Interbank Rate -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.07 0.43
Money Supply M1 1261730.00 1320000 1360000 1390000 1420000 1590000
Money Supply M2 2123062.00 2190000 2220000 2250000 2290000 2420000
Money Supply M3 2520217.00 2590000 2620000 2660000 2690000 2850000
Banks Balance Sheet 9079180.00 9250000 9450000 9550000 9610000 9780000
Loans to Private Sector 2455935.00 2490000 2540000 2580000 2600000 2860000
Loan Growth 5.71 4 4 3.6 3.4 3.2
Private Debt to GDP 233.97 225 221 221 221 217
Central Bank Balance Sheet 1076393.00 1250000 1320000 1370000 1400000 1750000
Trade Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Balance of Trade -4052.00 -2980 -3200 -2800 -2200 -1650
Current Account -684.00 -620 -2200 -2100 -1720 -550
Current Account to GDP -0.80 -1.3 -1 -1 -1 -0.9
Imports 47278.00 45900 44800 45400 46640 49500
Exports 43226.00 42920 41600 42600 44440 47850
External Debt 5157170.00 5070000 5110000 5150000 5170000 5250000
Terms of Trade 112.90 115 113 112 111 112
Foreign Direct Investment 17327.00 3240 4950 1500 3460 4330
Capital Flows 849.00 29100 -18700 2500 -2200 15100
Remittances 43.00 43 45 45 45 45
Gold Reserves 2436.00 2436 2436 2436 2436 2436
Tourism Revenues 4296.00 2540 2620 4950 4790 2750
Tourist Arrivals 82600.00 85200 85700 85700 85700 86200
Crude Oil Production 16.00 15 15 15 15 15
Government Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Government Debt to GDP 97.00 98.7 98.6 98.6 98.6 98
Government Budget -2.60 -2.6 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.7
Government Budget Value -86.98 -67.1 -26.8 -58 -73 -61.8
Government Spending 136130.00 137257 137473 138238 138580 142662
Government Spending to GDP 56.50 55.5 54.5 53.5 52.5 50.5
Government Revenues 254.04 316 85 170 247 327
Government Debt 2299.80 2340 2380 2400 2410 2470
Fiscal Expenditure 332.41 383 112 228 320 389
Asylum Applications 8620.00 8400 7150 5900 6250 5100
Taxes Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 33.30 33.3 33.3 33.3 33.3 33.3
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45
Social Security Rate 59.20 59.2 59.2 59.2 59.2 59.2
Social Security Rate For Companies 45.00 45 45 45 45 45
Social Security Rate For Employees 14.20 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2
Business Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Business Confidence 105.00 102 101 105 104 101
Manufacturing PMI 49.70 49.7 50.9 54 54.5 53.6
Services PMI 49.60 49.6 52.9 56 55.7 54
Composite Pmi 49.30 49.3 52.5 55.1 55.4 54
Industrial Production -0.70 2 2.5 2.9 2.5 2.3
Industrial Production Mom 1.20 0.4 0.5 -0.2 0.2 0.4
Manufacturing Production -1.30 2 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.2
Capacity Utilization 85.20 85.5 85.7 85.7 85.9 86
New Orders -12.10 -2 -6 -4 -7 -10
Bankruptcies 328.00 320 312 310 295 340
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -28.30 1.5 4.4 11.5 15.7 22
Car Registrations 173573.00 189900 192000 186500 191500 199400
Mining Production 3.10 3.2 3 2.7 2.6 2.2
Steel Production 1308.99 1250 1450 1500 1400 1380
Changes In Inventories 3229.00 8200 6900 6000 7500 4500
Electricity Production 44439.00 55900 52700 41500 41500 56800
Consumer Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Consumer Confidence 92.00 91 91 94 95 99
Retail Sales MoM 0.50 -0.7 0.5 -0.3 0.7 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 2.60 4.4 4.6 4.2 3.8 2.7
Consumer Spending 308517.00 311544 312228 312721 314070 323811
Disposable Personal Income 355091.00 364000 366000 368000 371000 389000
Personal Savings 14.32 14.5 14.7 14.7 14.8 15.1
Households Debt To GDP 58.60 58 56 56 56 52
Households Debt To Income 93.29 85.8 84.6 84.6 84.6 83.5
Personal Spending 0.80 0.5 -0.4 -0.3 0.5 0.6
Bank Lending Rate 1.67 1.85 1.85 1.85 2.1 2.6
Consumer Credit 1385414.00 1450000 1490000 1520000 1550000 1780000
Gasoline Prices 1.73 1.79 1.76 1.73 1.7 1.57
Housing Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Construction Output -2.80 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.1
Housing Index 106.31 108 108 109 110 115
Housing Starts 35500.00 45200 39100 37100 37400 50300
Home Ownership Rate 64.90 63.4 63.2 63.2 63.2 63
New Home Sales 27395.00 36100 32900 34800 32400 40200
Construction Pmi 54.00 50.5 49.4 52.5 53.4 54
Building Permits 42300.00 47200 47500 46400 49900 55100


프랑스 - 예상 - 경제 지표 - 장기 및 단기 예측을 포함하여 경제 지표에 대한 예측.